Bars = expected points. Dashed outline = next gameweek's 90th-percentile ceiling.
GW11–GW15 projections and ranges are in Pro. Free shows the next 3 gameweeks. Pro shows every gameweek the model covers, with a 10–90% range for each.
Over the next three gameweeks our model projects 11.6 points for Thiago: a solid option at £7.8m. The price has moved down £0.2m since the season started.
Points per gameweek
| GW | Opponent | Min | G | A | xGI | DC | Bonus | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LIV (H) | 90 | 1 | 0.68 | 10 | 4 | ||
| 6 | AVL (A) 2-2 | 90 | 1 | 0.20 | 7 | 4 | ||
| 5 | CHE (H) 3-0 | 90 | 1 | 0.75 | 3 | 5 | ||
| 4 | BOU (A) 2-2 | 90 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | |||
| 3 | SUN (H) 1-1 | 90 | 0.51 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 2 | LEE (A) 1-1 | 90 | 0.81 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | TOT (H) 3-0 | 82 | 1.08 | 5 | 0 |
Managers who own the player, and net transfers, by gameweek (measured FPL data)
Net transfers per gameweek: blue in, red out. Price now £7.8m.
FPL totals (measured)
| Season | Pts | Starts | G | A | xGI | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 181 | 37 | 22 | 1 | 22.4 | £6.0→7.2 |
| 2024/25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | £6.0→5.9 |
Next match: at Hull City, Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK.