Arsenal
Could start: Bruno G. 40%, J.Timber 40%, Gyökeres 31%, Merino 21%
Out or suspended: Hincapie, Tzolis
The most likely starting XI for every club, with each player's chance of starting. Modelled from recent starts, minutes, price and FPL's injury flags. It does not read press conferences, so late team news can change it.
Could start: Bruno G. 40%, J.Timber 40%, Gyökeres 31%, Merino 21%
Out or suspended: Hincapie, Tzolis
Could start: Rodríguez 31%, Soler 21%, Cook 21%, Gannon-Doak 21%, Sanchez 21%
Out or suspended: Scott
Could start: O.Dango 31%, Jensen 21%, Wilson 21%, Damsgaard 15%
Out or suspended: Janelt, Yarmoliuk, Furo
Could start: Dunk 32%, Yalcouyé 32%, Costinha 21%, Georginio 21%, Hadjam 21%
Could start: Welbeck 32%, Lavia 32%, Estêvão 31%, Fofana 30%, Gusto 24%
Out or suspended: Martinez, James
Could start: Onyeka 44%, Mfuni 32%, Simms 21%, Torp 21%, Sakamoto 21%
Out or suspended: Amenda
Could start: Ahanor 32%, Sarr 31%, Nketiah 21%, McNeil 21%, Disasi 15%
Could start: George 32%, Mykolenko 30%, O'Brien 21%, Alcaraz 21%, Dibling 21%
Could start: Castagne 30%, Smith Rowe 21%, Kevin 21%, Muniz 21%, Ángel 21%
Could start: Stroud 32%, Iroegbunam 21%, Morita 21%, Herrington 15%
Out or suspended: Targett, Mendy
Could start: Clarke 44%, Palacios 44%, Fatawu 30%, Akpom 21%, Walle Egeli 21%
Could start: Wilson 31%, Bijol 21%, Nmecha 21%, Bahoya 21%, Aaronson 21%
Out or suspended: Rodon
Could start: Koumas 49%, Gomez 21%, Ngumoha 21%, Chiesa 21%, Nyoni 21%
Out or suspended: Frimpong, Szoboszlai
Could start: Gvardiol 44%, Doku 31%, Allan 31%, Bouaddi 21%, Foden 19%
Could start: Tielemans 42%, Yoro 32%, Amad 32%, Baleba 21%, Heaven 21%
Out or suspended: Šeško
Could start: Dedić 32%, Burn 21%, Joelinton 21%, Touré 21%, Osula 21%
Out or suspended: Elanga
Could start: Hudson-Odoi 21%, I.Sangaré 21%, Wood 21%, Kalimuendo 21%, Jair Cunha 15%
Out or suspended: Igor Jesus
Could start: Van de Ven 44%, Maddison 31%, Robertson 30%
Out or suspended: Sávio, Pedro Porro
Could start: Brobbey 30%, Jocelin.T 21%, Fofana 21%, J.Angulo 21%
Out or suspended: Ballard
Start chance = probability of playing 60+ minutes in the next match. On the 2025/26 season it never saw, the model scored a Brier of 0.082 against 0.111 for "same as last match". How the model is tested →