Which teams have the kindest run? FPL's own ratings give one number per fixture. Ours split it in two: how many goals a team should score (for your attackers) and how often it should keep a clean sheet (for your defenders), from this season's expected goals. Capitals are home games, lower case away.
| Team | GW8 | GW9 | GW10 | GW11 | GW12 | GW13 | GW14 | GW15 | Avg | Team xP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | MCI | FUL | mun | SUN | ips | EVE |
Attack and defence relative to an average Premier League side (1.00), adjusted for who they've played and where. Built from 60 matches of this season's expected goals; xG figures are measured, ratings modelled.
| Team | Attack ↑ | Defence ↑ | xG / match | xGA / match | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.09 | 1.42 | 1.81 | 0.78 | 6 |
cov |
| 2.75 |
| 101 |
| Coventry City | FUL | SUN | eve | CRY | lee | IPS | mun | AVL | 2.75 | 95 |
| Ipswich Town | NFO | hul | BOU | tot | AVL | cov | lee | NEW | 2.75 | 88 |
| Spurs | che | CRY | lee | IPS | sun | FUL | ARS | hul | 2.75 | 92 |
| Hull City | BRE | IPS | ars | BHA | cry | NFO | bou | TOT | 3.00 | 82 |
| Nott'm Forest | ips | bre | MCI | bou | CHE | hul | BHA | sun | 3.00 | 95 |
| Sunderland | LEE | cov | CHE | avl | TOT | liv | new | NFO | 3.00 | 81 |
| Arsenal | EVE | liv | HUL | new | MCI | bre | tot | BOU | 3.13 | 115 |
| Bournemouth | mun | LEE | ips | NFO | ful | BHA | HUL | ars | 3.13 | 103 |
| Crystal Palace | NEW | tot | LIV | cov | HUL | che | avl | MUN | 3.13 | 103 |
| Fulham | cov | avl | NEW | mci | BOU | tot | eve | BRE | 3.13 | 106 |
| Leeds | sun | bou | TOT | che | COV | mci | IPS | liv | 3.13 | 108 |
| Man Utd | BOU | che | AVL | liv | BRE | new | COV | cry | 3.13 | 103 |
| Brighton | liv | mci | BRE | hul | NEW | bou | nfo | EVE | 3.25 | 114 |
| Chelsea | TOT | MUN | sun | LEE | nfo | CRY | LIV | mci | 3.25 | 105 |
| Everton | ars | new | COV | bre | LIV | avl | FUL | bha | 3.25 | 110 |
| Man City | avl | BHA | nfo | FUL | ars | LEE | bre | CHE | 3.25 | 116 |
| Newcastle | cry | EVE | ful | ARS | bha | MUN | SUN | ips | 3.25 | 99 |
| Brentford | hul | NFO | bha | EVE | mun | ARS | MCI | ful | 3.38 | 90 |
| Liverpool | BHA | ARS | cry | MUN | eve | SUN | che | LEE | 3.38 | 111 |
1.18 |
1.06 |
| 2.01 |
| 1.38 |
| 6 |
| Brighton | 1.28 | 0.95 | 2.16 | 1.62 | 6 |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.10 | 1.07 | 1.81 | 1.23 | 6 |
| Brentford | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.88 | 1.45 | 6 |
| Man Utd | 1.11 | 1.02 | 1.85 | 1.42 | 6 |
| Liverpool | 1.00 | 1.14 | 1.56 | 1.24 | 6 |
| Sunderland | 1.10 | 1.01 | 1.76 | 1.68 | 6 |
| Leeds | 0.95 | 1.06 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 6 |
| Bournemouth | 0.93 | 1.08 | 1.36 | 1.38 | 6 |
| Everton | 0.95 | 1.04 | 1.47 | 1.35 | 6 |
| Fulham | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.60 | 1.71 | 6 |
| Chelsea | 0.98 | 0.94 | 1.42 | 1.76 | 6 |
| Ipswich Town | 0.97 | 0.90 | 1.48 | 1.86 | 6 |
| Spurs | 0.82 | 1.05 | 1.11 | 1.44 | 6 |
| Aston Villa | 0.88 | 0.95 | 1.15 | 1.72 | 6 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.97 | 0.83 | 1.45 | 2.11 | 6 |
| Coventry City | 0.83 | 0.96 | 1.07 | 1.75 | 6 |
| Hull City | 0.81 | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.52 | 6 |
| Newcastle | 0.89 | 0.85 | 1.19 | 1.78 | 6 |